Fox News 2024 Voter Analysis

View Fox News Voter Analysis election page regularly to stay informed about the latest trends, voter sentiments, and key insights that will shape the 2024 primary elections.

Filter Questions

About FNVA

The Fox News Voter Analysis (FNVA) is a survey of the American electorate conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for Fox News and the Associated Press. It provides a comprehensive look at political opinions and voting behavior across the United States. For the 2024 Republican presidential primaries and caucuses, the FNVA results are based primarily on interviews with a random sample of registered voters eligible to vote in a state’s primary or caucus, drawn from state voter files. These probability sample results are supplemented by interviews with self-identified registered voters recruited from nonprobability online panels. Interviews are conducted in English and Spanish, beginning approximately six days before the primary or caucus and concluding as polls close. The survey includes interviews with approximately 2,000 respondents in each state.

Iowa Republican Primary

Do you describe yourself as a man, a woman, nonbinary or in another way?

+	Men		901	54%

+	Women		681	46%

+	Nonbinary/Other		3	0%

Sample: 1585 respondents

What is your age?

+	18-29		176	14%

+	30-44		312	20%

+	45-64		575	35%

+	65+		518	31%

Sample: 1581 respondents

What is your age?

+	18-44		488	34%

+	45+		1,093	66%

Sample: 1581 respondents

Gender, age 2 categories

+	18-44 men		260	19%

+	18-44 women		226	15%

+	45+ men		638	35%

+	45+ women		453	31%

+	All others		3	0%

Sample: 1580 respondents

What is your racial or ethnic heritage?

+	White		1,440	97%

+	African American or Black		15	0%

+	Latino or Hispanic		34	1%

+	Other		91	1%

Sample: 1580 respondents

What is your racial or ethnic heritage?

+	White		1,440	97%

+	Non-white		140	3%

Sample: 1580 respondents

Gender, race 2 categories

+	White men		821	52%

+	White women		618	45%

+	Non-white men		74	1%

+	Non-white women		63	1%

+	All others		3	0%

Sample: 1579 respondents

Age 2 categories, race 2 categories

+	White 18-44		416	32%

+	White 45+		1,021	65%

+	Non-white 18-44		71	2%

+	Non-white 45+		69	1%

Sample: 1577 respondents

Which best describes your level of education?

+	High school or less		271	30%

+	Some college/assoc. degree		540	33%

+	College graduate		488	27%

+	Postgraduate study		287	10%

Sample: 1586 respondents

Which best describes your level of education?

+	No college degree		811	63%

+	College degree		775	37%

Sample: 1586 respondents

Gender, education 2 categories

+	Non college men		421	32%

+	College men		479	21%

+	Non college women		387	31%

+	College women		294	16%

+	All others		3	0%

Sample: 1584 respondents

Age 2 categories, education 2 categories

+	18-44 non college		259	22%

+	18-44 college		229	12%

+	45+ non college		550	41%

+	45+ college		542	25%

Sample: 1580 respondents

Education 2 categories, race 2 categories

+	White non college		739	61%

+	White college		700	36%

+	Non-white non college		69	2%

+	Non-white college		71	1%

Sample: 1579 respondents

Gender, education 2 categories, race 2 categories

+	White non college men		387	31%

+	White non college women		351	30%

+	White college men		433	21%

+	White college women		267	15%

+	Non-white non college men		31	1%

+	Non-white non college women		36	1%

+	Non-white college men		43	1%

+	Non-white college women		27	0%

+	All others		3	0%

Sample: 1578 respondents

Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, or don't you consider yourself either? Would you say you're closer to the Democrats, to the Republicans, or don't you lean toward either?

+	Democrat/Lean Dem		60	4%

+	Republican/Lean Rep		1,447	91%

+	Independent		80	5%

Sample: 1587 respondents

Party with leaners, gender

+	Democratic women		40	3%

+	Democratic men		19	1%

+	Republican women		601	41%

+	Republican men		844	49%

+	All others		81	5%

Sample: 1585 respondents

Generally speaking, do you consider yourself to be a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

+	Very liberal		11	1%

+	Somewhat liberal		46	4%

+	Moderate		349	22%

+	Somewhat conservative		597	36%

+	Very conservative		581	36%

Sample: 1584 respondents

Generally speaking, do you consider yourself to be a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

+	Liberal		57	5%

+	Moderate		349	22%

+	Conservative		1,178	73%

Sample: 1584 respondents

Which of the following best describes the area where you live?

+	Urban		201	13%

+	Suburban		404	25%

+	Small town/Rural		977	62%

Sample: 1582 respondents

Gender, sizeplace 3 categories

+	Urban men		108	7%

+	Suburban men		229	13%

+	Small town/Rural men		561	34%

+	Urban women		92	6%

+	Suburban women		173	12%

+	Small town/Rural women		414	28%

+	All others		3	0%

Sample: 1580 respondents

Race 2 categories, sizeplace 3 categories

+	White urban		172	13%

+	White suburban		353	24%

+	White small town/rural		913	61%

+	Non-white urban		28	0%

+	Non-white suburban		50	1%

+	Non-white small town/rural		60	1%

Sample: 1576 respondents

Do you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?

+	White evangelical/white born-again Christians		649	46%

+	All others		909	54%

Sample: 1558 respondents

Do you or does any other member of your household own a handgun, rifle, shotgun, or any other kind of firearm?

+	Gun owner, self		702	44%

+	Gun in household		234	18%

+	No		567	39%

Sample: 1503 respondents

Do you or does any other member of your household own a handgun, rifle, shotgun, or any other kind of firearm?

+	Gun in household		936	61%

+	No gun in household		567	39%

Sample: 1503 respondents

Which best describes when you decided how you would vote?

+	I've known all along		623	44%

+	I decided more than a month ago		348	23%

+	I decided over the last month		265	16%

+	I decided in the last few days		322	18%

Sample: 1558 respondents

Which best describes when you decided how you would vote?

+	Decided more than a month ago		971	66%

+	Decided over the last month or more recently		587	34%

Sample: 1558 respondents

Which best describes when you decided how you would vote?

+	Decided more than a few days ago		1,236	82%

+	In the last few days		322	18%

Sample: 1558 respondents

Will/would this election be your first time ever voting in a caucus, or not?

+	First time voting		408	28%

+	Not		1,177	72%

Sample: 1585 respondents

Which one of the following would you say is the most important issue facing the country?

+	The economy and jobs		548	33%

+	Health care		61	4%

+	Immigration		652	41%

+	Abortion		55	3%

+	Crime		34	2%

+	Gun policy		49	2%

+	Foreign policy		115	7%

+	School policy		27	3%

+	Energy policy		33	3%

Sample: 1577 respondents

Which best describes your family's financial situation? Are you...

+	Getting ahead		194	11%

+	Holding steady		913	57%

+	Falling behind		477	32%

Sample: 1585 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Can win the general election in November

+	Very important		1,289	82%

+	Somewhat important		217	14%

+	Not too important		44	3%

+	Not at all important		29	1%

Sample: 1579 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Can win the general election in November

+	Important		1,506	96%

+	Not important		73	3%

Sample: 1579 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Has the best policy ideas

+	Very important		1,181	75%

+	Somewhat important		351	22%

+	Not too important		30	2%

+	Not at all important		16	1%

Sample: 1578 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Has the best policy ideas

+	Important		1,532	97%

+	Not important		46	3%

Sample: 1578 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Cares about people like you

+	Very important		1,130	74%

+	Somewhat important		369	21%

+	Not too important		60	3%

+	Not at all important		21	2%

Sample: 1581 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Cares about people like you

+	Important		1,499	95%

+	Not important		81	5%

Sample: 1581 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Is a strong leader

+	Very important		1,406	90%

+	Somewhat important		147	8%

+	Not too important		17	0%

+	Not at all important		10	1%

Sample: 1580 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Is a strong leader

+	Important		1,553	99%

+	Not important		27	1%

Sample: 1580 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Has the mental capability to serve effectively as president

+	Very important		1,484	94%

+	Somewhat important		70	4%

+	Not too important		17	1%

+	Not at all important		11	1%

Sample: 1582 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Has the mental capability to serve effectively as president

+	Important		1,554	98%

+	Not important		28	1%

Sample: 1582 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Is willing to break the rules to get things done

+	Very important		211	16%

+	Somewhat important		384	26%

+	Not too important		398	23%

+	Not at all important		535	31%

Sample: 1536 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Is willing to break the rules to get things done

+	Important		595	41%

+	Not important		933	54%

Sample: 1536 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Will work across party lines

+	Very important		799	52%

+	Somewhat important		544	34%

+	Not too important		157	10%

+	Not at all important		81	5%

Sample: 1582 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Will work across party lines

+	Important		1,343	86%

+	Not important		238	14%

Sample: 1582 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Donald Trump

+	Satisfied and would vote for them in November		918	61%

+	Dissatisfied but would still vote for them in November		302	18%

+	Dissatisfied enough that you would not vote for them in November		350	20%

Sample: 1573 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Donald Trump

+	Satisfied		918	61%

+	Not satisfied		652	38%

Sample: 1573 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Donald Trump

+	Would ultimately vote for them		1,220	79%

+	Would not ultimately vote for them		350	20%

Sample: 1573 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Ron DeSantis

+	Satisfied and would vote for them in November		660	42%

+	Dissatisfied but would still vote for them in November		487	30%

+	Dissatisfied enough that you would not vote for them in November		404	26%

Sample: 1553 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Ron DeSantis

+	Satisfied		660	42%

+	Not satisfied		891	56%

Sample: 1553 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Ron DeSantis

+	Would ultimately vote for them		1,147	72%

+	Would not ultimately vote for them		404	26%

Sample: 1553 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Nikki Haley

+	Satisfied and would vote for them in November		594	35%

+	Dissatisfied but would still vote for them in November		495	32%

+	Dissatisfied enough that you would not vote for them in November		457	30%

Sample: 1548 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Nikki Haley

+	Satisfied		594	35%

+	Not satisfied		952	62%

Sample: 1548 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Nikki Haley

+	Would ultimately vote for them		1,089	68%

+	Would not ultimately vote for them		457	30%

Sample: 1548 respondents

Which candidate do you think most represents the Republican establishment?

+	Chris Christie		157	7%

+	Ron DeSantis		268	17%

+	Nikki Haley		361	23%

+	Asa Hutchinson		51	2%

+	Vivek Ramaswamy		80	5%

+	Donald Trump		626	44%

Sample: 1548 respondents

How much change would you like to see in how the country is run?

+	No change		18	1%

+	Small change		160	10%

+	Substantial change		921	56%

+	Complete and total upheaval		484	33%

Sample: 1583 respondents

How much change would you like to see in how the country is run?

+	No change or small change		178	11%

+	Substantial change or complete and total upheaval		1,405	89%

Sample: 1583 respondents

Do you think Joe Biden was legitimately elected president, or not?

+	Yes, legitimately elected		588	34%

+	No, not legitimately elected		956	63%

Sample: 1552 respondents

Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Make America Great Again, or MAGA, movement, or not?

+	Yes		956	62%

+	No		605	36%

Sample: 1562 respondents

Do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong when it comes to: The classified documents found at his Florida home

+	Illegal		355	21%

+	Unethical, but not illegal		523	33%

+	Nothing wrong		677	43%

Sample: 1555 respondents

Do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong when it comes to: His role in what happened at the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021

+	Illegal		250	15%

+	Unethical, but not illegal		451	27%

+	Nothing wrong		863	56%

Sample: 1564 respondents

Do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong when it comes to: His alleged attempt to interfere in the vote count in the 2020 presidential election

+	Illegal		327	19%

+	Unethical, but not illegal		458	29%

+	Nothing wrong		778	50%

Sample: 1563 respondents

When it comes to each of the following, do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical, but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong?

+	Illegal on all		198	12%

+	Nothing wrong on all		524	34%

+	All others		865	54%

Sample: 1587 respondents

When it comes to each of the following, do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical, but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong?

+	Illegal on at least one		447	26%

+	All others		1,140	74%

Sample: 1587 respondents

In general, which better describes your view of the charges against Donald Trump?

+	They're legitimate attempts to investigate important issues		338	19%

+	They're political attempts to undermine Trump		1,233	80%

Sample: 1575 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: Elections in the United States

+	Very confident		326	20%

+	Somewhat confident		567	37%

+	Not too confident		464	29%

+	Not at all confident		229	14%

Sample: 1586 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: Elections in the United States

+	Very/Somewhat confident		893	57%

+	Not too/Not at all confident		693	43%

Sample: 1586 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: Elections in your state

+	Very confident		856	53%

+	Somewhat confident		579	37%

+	Not too confident		111	7%

+	Not at all confident		30	2%

Sample: 1576 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: Elections in your state

+	Very/Somewhat confident		1,435	91%

+	Not too/Not at all confident		141	9%

Sample: 1576 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: U.S. democracy in general

+	Very confident		230	13%

+	Somewhat confident		598	38%

+	Not too confident		529	34%

+	Not at all confident		215	14%

Sample: 1574 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: U.S. democracy in general

+	Very/Somewhat confident		828	51%

+	Not too/Not at all confident		744	48%

Sample: 1574 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: The U.S. legal system

+	Very confident		193	12%

+	Somewhat confident		502	31%

+	Not too confident		542	34%

+	Not at all confident		335	21%

Sample: 1575 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: The U.S. legal system

+	Very/Somewhat confident		695	43%

+	Not too/Not at all confident		877	56%

Sample: 1575 respondents

Do you think immigrants in the U.S. today do more to...

+	Help the country		372	22%

+	Hurt the country		1,162	75%

Sample: 1546 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Building a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border

+	Strongly favor		1,144	73%

+	Somewhat favor		237	15%

+	Somewhat oppose		100	6%

+	Strongly oppose		95	5%

Sample: 1578 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Building a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,381	88%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		195	12%

Sample: 1578 respondents

Which comes closest to your opinion on abortion? Should abortion be...

+	Legal in all cases		124	9%

+	Legal in most cases		367	22%

+	Illegal in most cases		800	48%

+	Illegal in all cases		266	20%

Sample: 1562 respondents

Which comes closest to your opinion on abortion? Should abortion be...

+	Legal in all/most cases		491	31%

+	Illegal in all/most cases		1,066	67%

Sample: 1562 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Banning most abortions after 6 weeks of pregnancy

+	Strongly favor		700	45%

+	Somewhat favor		308	20%

+	Somewhat oppose		267	16%

+	Strongly oppose		286	17%

Sample: 1568 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Banning most abortions after 6 weeks of pregnancy

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,008	65%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		553	33%

Sample: 1568 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy

+	Strongly favor		929	60%

+	Somewhat favor		304	18%

+	Somewhat oppose		163	10%

+	Strongly oppose		161	10%

Sample: 1561 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,233	78%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		324	20%

Sample: 1561 respondents

In general, do you think the United States should take a more active or less active role solving the world's problems, or is its current role about right?

+	More active		299	19%

+	Less active		820	51%

+	Its current role is about right		452	29%

Sample: 1576 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Continuing aid to Ukraine in the war against Russia

+	Strongly favor		263	16%

+	Somewhat favor		448	26%

+	Somewhat oppose		386	24%

+	Strongly oppose		481	33%

Sample: 1580 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Continuing aid to Ukraine in the war against Russia

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		711	42%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		867	57%

Sample: 1580 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Continuing aid to Israel to fight Hamas

+	Strongly favor		611	38%

+	Somewhat favor		498	30%

+	Somewhat oppose		248	16%

+	Strongly oppose		214	16%

Sample: 1576 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Continuing aid to Israel to fight Hamas

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,109	67%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		462	32%

Sample: 1576 respondents

Do you think your local public K-8 schools are teaching too much, too little, or about the right amount on issues related to each of the following? Racism in the U.S.

+	Too much		828	52%

+	Too little		264	18%

+	About right		452	27%

Sample: 1558 respondents

Do you think your local public K-8 schools are teaching too much, too little, or about the right amount on issues related to each of the following? Sexual orientation

+	Too much		1,178	74%

+	Too little		90	6%

+	About right		281	17%

Sample: 1561 respondents

Do you think your local public K-8 schools are teaching too much, too little, or about the right amount on issues related to each of the following? Gender identity

+	Too much		1,205	76%

+	Too little		88	7%

+	About right		260	15%

Sample: 1562 respondents

Below are some different groups of people. Is discrimination or prejudice against that group in our country a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem at all? Black or African American people

+	Major problem		326	22%

+	Minor problem		774	46%

+	Not a problem		467	30%

Sample: 1572 respondents

Below are some different groups of people. Is discrimination or prejudice against that group in our country a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem at all? Hispanic or Latino people

+	Major problem		246	17%

+	Minor problem		813	49%

+	Not a problem		507	33%

Sample: 1570 respondents

Below are some different groups of people. Is discrimination or prejudice against that group in our country a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem at all? White people

+	Major problem		367	25%

+	Minor problem		665	39%

+	Not a problem		536	34%

Sample: 1573 respondents

Below are some different groups of people. Is discrimination or prejudice against that group in our country a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem at all? Asian American people

+	Major problem		255	17%

+	Minor problem		785	47%

+	Not a problem		523	34%

Sample: 1572 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Increasing funding for police

+	Strongly favor		927	59%

+	Somewhat favor		492	29%

+	Somewhat oppose		111	8%

+	Strongly oppose		43	3%

Sample: 1577 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Increasing funding for police

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,419	89%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		154	11%

Sample: 1577 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Raising the age when people become eligible for full Social Security benefits from 67 to 70

+	Strongly favor		129	6%

+	Somewhat favor		325	18%

+	Somewhat oppose		458	31%

+	Strongly oppose		659	44%

Sample: 1575 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Raising the age when people become eligible for full Social Security benefits from 67 to 70

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		454	24%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		1,117	75%

Sample: 1575 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Expanding U.S. production of fossil fuels, such as oil and gas

+	Strongly favor		1,062	67%

+	Somewhat favor		344	21%

+	Somewhat oppose		116	8%

+	Strongly oppose		58	4%

Sample: 1581 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Expanding U.S. production of fossil fuels, such as oil and gas

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,406	88%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		174	12%

Sample: 1581 respondents

In which of these categories is your total yearly household income, that is, of everyone living in your family household? Was your total household income in 2023...

+	Under $25,000		116	9%

+	$25,000-$49,999		279	21%

+	$50,000-$74,999		301	19%

+	$75,000-$99,999		325	20%

+	$100,000 or more		528	31%

Sample: 1549 respondents

Was your total household income in 2023...

+	Under $50,000		395	31%

+	$50,000-$99,999		626	39%

+	$100,000 or more		528	31%

Sample: 1549 respondents

Was your total household income in 2023...

+	Under $50,000		395	31%

+	$50,000 or more		1,154	69%

Sample: 1549 respondents

Filter Questions

How To Read These Tables

About FNVA

Iowa Republican Primary